Replicability
Using modelling systems and stakeholder engagement to improve awareness of climate risks in different arctic regions.
Best suited for
This model is best suited for coastal, arctic regions exposed to multiple climate hazards, particularly where spatial planning and risk assessment play a central role in adaptation. This is especially relevant for such areas threatened by flooding, storm surges, avalanches, and rockfall, where informed preparation and quick action is vital to protecting local communities.
Municipalities and regional authorities with access to geospatial data, climate projections, and hazard information can readily integrate similar tools into existing planning processes. The participatory approach based on citizen juries and VR is readily transferable to other contexts where visualising future climate scenarios can support public engagement, improve understanding of risks, and build acceptance around adaptation measures.
Stakeholders' role
The model leverages collaboration between different stakeholder groups to integrate perspectives and information from a variety of viewpoints. These groups were selected after a detailed mapping process. The groups identified included ‘state, government, and political system’, which was the largest group, followed by ‘industry and economic system’, ‘academic system’, and finally ‘uninformed citizens, media, and culture’. The demonstration site was led by the Arctic University of Norway.
Built-in scalable tools
This model integrated characteristics into the tools produced that support replication and scaling across different regions. For the Marine Spatial Planning Framework in particular, it is possible for users to integrate their own data using ArcGIS, enabling quick and effective scaling. The avalanche and slush flow assessment methodology can be transferred to other snow-prone regions by applying similar modelling approaches using local terrain, meteorological, and hazard data. Likewise, for the stakeholder engagement methodologies, guidelines were developed to allow for successful replication in other settings.
Funding pathways
The pilot case was developed through the Horizon Europe-funded IMPETUS project, as part of the EU Mission on Adaptation to Climate Change.
